ACC Basketball Update(3/1)

Results

Clemson 74 Miami 70 (OT)
Maryland 85 Duke 77
NC State 73 Wake Forest 66

Virginia 69 Virginia Tech 56
Georgia Tech 84 North Carolina 77

Analysis

  • Barring an unbelievable collapse against Wake Forest this weekend, Virginia will win the ACC Regular Season title.
  • UNC can end up anywhere from 2nd to 5th based on if they win or lose and what everyone else does.
  • VT, BC, and Maryland are also in that top five shuffle.
  • Duke can finish no better than fifth and no worse than seventh.
  • NCAA Tournament Prospects:
  • Locks: UVa, VT, UNC, BC, Duke, Maryland
  • Almost there: Georgia Tech
  • Out: Clemson, Florida State
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8 Responses to ACC Basketball Update(3/1)

  1. actuarializing says:

    Actually, NC can still grab the #1 seed with a win over Duke (pomeroy probability 0.80), a Va loss at Wake (pr=0.31) and a VT loss to Clemson (pr=0.36). It shouldn’t matter what happens to BC. That puts the probability at just under 9 percent. Good luck!

  2. Tar Heel Fan says:

    I was wondering when you’d show up. šŸ˜‰

    UVa should be taken to the woodshed if they give away the reg season title by losing to Wake. VT might lose to Clemson, anything is possible there.

  3. actuarializing says:

    Hey – it’s still an ACC road game …

  4. williamodouglas says:

    Wake beat Georgia Tech.

  5. williamodouglas says:

    You can’t tell how good anybody is from the standings now that they have eliminated the round robin. For instance, say you only have to play Duke once. They would normally be a positive, right? But let’s say that the one game is at Durham. Now is it more of a positive to only have them once or is it expunged by the factor of having to play them at Cameron. It is impossible to know. I think this is one of the reason’s that Pomeroy and Sagrin have begun to be cited as much as the wire services, because the league standings now mean zero.

  6. williamodouglas says:

    Virginia lost to Weak Forest. I am not surprised that a team that had already lost to Miami and App. State and Utah would do so. I don’t think they choked. I think that the are just mediocre.

  7. actuarializing says:

    Not to hijack a tarheel blog, but I wouldn’t use the word mediocre. They defintely aren’t GREAT though. SS is, but not the team. Singletary was injured early in the game and never recovered – great teams can fight through that to beat the last place team for a championship. Good teams with one stud can’t – that’s what happened today.

    But if NC, VT, and BC all lose tomorrow … šŸ˜‰

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