ACC Now’s UNC Preview

J.P. Giglio at ACC Now has his preview up for the 2007 version of the gridiron Tar Heels. Giglio basically hits on the key areas which including defensive line, the well known QB situation and what could be a disaster in the making: the backfield.  Given all the uncertainty it is no surprise there is a fairly decent gap between the following scenarios:

Best-case scenario

• They go 5-7 if Yates does the smart thing and finds Nicks and Quinn as often as humanly possible, a running back emerges and the defense doesn’t let every game turn into a track meet. James Madison is a given (right?) and if Davis continues Bunting’s mastery of N.C. State and Duke, there might be two more wins to be found (Maryland, East Carolina).

Worst-case scenario

• They go 2-10 if the running game seems as bad as it does on paper, Yates and Paulus ride the same yo-yo Sexton and Dailey did last year and the defense gets charred six ways to Sunday. Then there’s the reality that Tom O’Brien figures out that his roster is better than UNC’s and the Heels could be so beat down mentally by Nov. 24 that even Duke poses a threat.

Realistic scenario

• They go 3-9 with the James Madison/Duke opener/closer combo and a Super Bowl over either Miami or Spurrier at Kenan.

I am presently leaning towards a four win season but I am also waiting to see how the rest of preseason camp goes to reach a complete conclusion.  I also do not think Davis will put Yates and Paulus on a yo-yo.  Davis strikes me as a coach who will go with one starter(probably Yates) and if he decides to go to Paulus then that decision will stand until the end of the season.  It is also my opinion that this team will get better as the season progresses and since I am not really concerned with wins this season I would gladly take 4-8 with wins over SCAR and NC State.

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One Response to ACC Now’s UNC Preview

  1. Chris says:

    I’d put the worst case scenario at 0-12. Look back to Mack Brown’s early seasons. James Madison was 9-3 last year, returns 12 out of 22 starters, has nothing to lose in the opener. Duke will be a better team this year and will win a few games. Last year they basically beat Wake, and we beat them by a whopping 1 point 45-44. Neither of these two games is a given. Best case scenario is starting off with good solid games against JM and ECU, and squeak by Virginia at home. A 3-0 start would give them the confidence to win at least 3 more games. The realistic scenario is totally unpredictable, like trying to tell what the temperature will be 6 weeks from now. It all depends upon the coach………..certain coaches know how to win games, and we’ll find out about Coach Davis. With respect to not being concerned about wins this season, I disagree. If the fans, players and coaches go into the season with that kind of attitude it will be a self fulfilling prophecy.

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